El Nino 2024 Winter Predictions. A strengthening el niño will make this winter different than last year in part of the united states. When a la niña event is stronger, seasonal predictions can be made with more confidence.
Before we explore the current predictions, let’s examine what some of the complicated terms mean. Weak la niña conditions would be less likely to result in conventional winter impacts, though predictable signals could still influence the forecast guidance (e.g., cpc’s seasonal outlooks).